Tips: Customize your own sanctions by changing the percentage values inside the boxes. A value of "0" means no reductions in exports to Russia from the specified sector in the specified country, "100" means 100%. When you are done, click on the “Impose” buttion in the bottom left to expore the effects of your customized sanctions.
Explore the effects of international sanctions against Russia in response to the invasion of Ukraine. Details on the model can be found in the CSH Policy Brief that accompanies this visualization.
The default scenario shows the sanctions against Russia currently in place. The sanctions prohibit exports to Russia and, therefore, present a demand shock for the sanction-imposing countries, while at the same time Russia experiences a supply shock of the prohibited goods. The CSH model then calculates the reduction in gross output for 66 countries by including direct and indirect effects. You can inspect and change the sanction scenario by clicking the “Customize sanctions” button in the top right corner.
Click on the button “Supply shock in Russia” in the top left to explore the effects of the sanctions on Russia. Both simulations can also be inspected as table by switching to “Table view”, at the top of the page.
Note that, in the default scenario the effects on countries outside of Russia is around ten times smaller than the effects inside Russia. The direct effects of sanctions on Russian inputs are spread along Russian domestic supply chains and are strongly amplified.
Please note as well, that this model has several shortcomings. It runs on an aggregated country-sector trade relations. On the single firm level the effects can also be amplified, if for instance essential products, such as cables from Ukraine, cannot be delivered, this can halt the total production of a company. Such nonlinearities are not represented in this model.